I am sure it is not an easy answer, we can try to look at where we have been, where we are and predict where it will go. But that is not really going to work.
I use the Internet all the time without even knowing I am, kind of. I work from home using VPN, I use an RSS reader, a webcam, social networks, etc. I just joined a French social web site and I have finally started to reconnect with some of my old pals. Although it seems most of them are not really there. I have to say we do not really watch TV as much, most of the shows are available on-line, when it is convenient for me to watch and not when the network think I should.
I am probably a bit behind my times, I refuse to put my list of contacts on the internet, I don’t really trust any location would be that secure for sensitive information. I have been resisting using something like Mint, putting all my $ information for all to hack or steal, seems way to sensitive. For those, I use a local (desktop) application and make sure I backup all the files. I am not sure whether I would actually publish my location with Google latitude yet, but I know someone who did and I often check to see where they are.
Now there seem to be 2 currents to look into. The whole web 2.0 towards web 3.0 (semantic web) and also now about Software as a service and all. We have so much information, I can only hope we will find a way to organize it better and personalize it a little bit more. I have not really used Amazon’s storage services yet but I can see how it is where we will eventually all go. Having my own drives to maintain and backup, with all the pictures and movies I have, it becoming a bit of a burden. You have to like the idea of someone else handling that for you and not to have to worry about noise in your office and how to scale without denting your savings.
Some of the reason for why I am a bit behind has to do with lack of internet access at home. For a while (a long while) we only had a one way cable connection (that means ok download and really bad upload speed) and no real other alternative. I have no reception with my cell phone at home and so the mobile phone is not really always on. I also try to make sure people from work find me easily accessible through my personal mobile phone. Uploading my Flickr pictures has been a pain for a very long time. But now we have a dual cable connection, I feel I can finally see the light. Most services are finally viable. I am afraid the US will not really be at the forefront of the internet revolution until we all have a decent access to the internet.
Once Internet access is granted and we have figured out the privacy issues, look at all the issues Facebook had, and when data packages for mobile phones are a little cheaper, I believe the Internet will be in everything we do. I am still not sold on watching shows on such a small screen though. Once that happens, Google will be able to give us tailored searches based on where we are and what we like. Ideally also based on time of day, am I asking about tech job related things or am I just trying to find a place to eat? People’s life will be mostly on the internet for all of us to see. We will have some video standard and we can watch each other without worrying about which program I should be running to be able to see a specific individual (Skype, MSN, GTalk, …). Geographical disparity will no longer means we cannot stay involved in each other’s life anymore. The world will indeed be a lot flatter then.
Corrections:
I am now a fan of Hulu, I do not need to be in front of the TV at the right time in order to be able to watch my favorite shows. I have been using streaming videos from Netflix for a while but I find the selection a little disappointing. I plug the computer into the TV, so no more small screen. On the bad side, I must be watching too much now. I need to catch up with current offerings so I can go back to my old life.
A friend of mine has an apple TV, he linked to my flickr account so I could show off my pictures. Unfortunately the resolution was a bit weird so overall a bit disappointing. But I see now that soon we will have media boxes, blur the line between TV, internet and what not. Apparently Microsoft Media Player is pretty good, I am just afraid if I get started I will never have time for physical activities or family time anymore. As we watch the shows, we will have links to youtube videos about the movie, Wikipedia articles for the location and historical references. We will not need DVD and their special features anymore. Is Blu-ray still viable with so many internet services providing HD downloads? Add the social dimension to this and you can recommend movies, compare notes. Just imagine, there would be no need to have screening anymore, you can target the whole web and develop your film while it is being reviewed. Not sure networks and distributors will ever agree to a standard that would be necessary for this to happen.